Do you think it’s a coincidence that Michael Burry, George
Soros, and Passport Capital—all big names from their short bets in the 2007
housing collapse-- all just happen to come across and invest in Focus Media
Holdings, while all hell was breaking loose here? For those not familiar, Focus Media Holdings is accused of
being yet another Chinese fraud by Muddy Waters.
If you have read The Big Short by Michael Lewis, you’ll
agree Michael Burry is a very intelligent guy who does his own homework. He, like myself, actually reads through
these obnoxiously long securities fillings (globally) most people ignore. Burry was also one of the first
to actually put on these CDS housing trades; and with billions in exposure and
his clients breathing down his neck, do you really think he gave a fuck about a
Chinese company making LCDs?
So why did Michael J Burry have $70 Million, Passport Capital $12 Million, Soros $12 Million; in Focus Media Holdings?
Studying these Chinese frauds in detail the same patterns become
evident; the way cash flows, advisor/partnership relationships, pledging
assets/securities, future purchases/sales, acquisitions, prepayments, cross
boarder transactions, and certain percentages to name just a few.
What I believe is that these transactions are related to
payouts from the banks to the funds resulting from their housing profits. Certain transactions also represent the
CDS premium payment, which I believe take the form of equity securities which
are placed into a trust (then shorted by the trustee secretly; ex: Deutsche Bank
/ Emerson Case) This is also how I
think Funds like Paulson avoid paying taxes, they (funds/banks) launder it
through different securities on different exchanges for 5 years and then just
try to scratch where they “acquired” them. On that same note, this is why I suspect Paulson was pushing
that investor presentation in Hartford where he wanted to break it up—while no
expert in Hartford, I have read numerous fillings where upon company divesting
assets/lines-of-biz, certain things such as warrants/ restricted shares
instantly freed/convertible.
I’d love to talk to someone about some of the idea’s/ways to
monetize what I’ve put together and working on; I’m hungry and looking for
anything. I’d appreciate any
feedback, inquires, or suggestions.
Thank You,
Donny Shekels
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